Monday, April 28, 2008

Fundamental Analysis - Good News for the Dollar

Over the past six months it seems like almost every major finance magazine has published an article related to the weakness of the dollar. If you are a currency trader like I am then this topic is particularly relevant to you because you need to know what the long-term trends of each currency are so that you can make profitable trades.

What you probably have not been reading about in the news are some of the events that have been happening behind the scenes or that will be happening in the near future, and why the American economy will ultimately regain its strength.

The single most significant factor affecting the American dollar is the trade balance, and the biggest portion of this problem is related to our war in the Middle East that should never have been authorized, yet is still costing us billions of dollars every single day. I will not spend a lot of time talking about the horrendous actions of the Bush administration (namely that they defrauded their way into office in order to wage a cultural genocide for the sake of gaining control over oil), but there are truly good things that have been happening behind the scenes and that will be happening in the near future.

You will not hear about many of these things in the mass media news outlets in America such as CNN and ABC, and there is an exceedingly simple reason why these manipulated news networks try to convince the American people that there is a threat of danger when really none exists at all: War is profitable. There are powerful groups in our world today whose agendas are motivated by greed and control, and these people engage in heartless wartime profiteering so that they may satisfy their lust for power. But it is not all bad: I will discuss some of the wondrous events that are causing these groups to rapidly lose their power, and what all of this information means for the currency markets.

The Bush Administration has dropped to single-digit approval ratings, and millions of Americans have gone to websites such as Impeach Bush and spoken out about their opinions of why this man is no longer our leader. Dennis Kucinich, a representative from my home state of Ohio that I have had the pleasure of meeting, is leading the way for the eventual impeachment and forcible removal from office of Bush and his war-mongering cronies.

The Bush Administration has inadvertently caused a global recession with their desire to wage a heartless war, and the signs are strong that the global community has finally come together and told these warmongers “Enough!” They are rapidly losing power as people are becoming more conscious and aware of the fact that they have been lied to by the controlled mass media outlets.
If you are looking for really good forex trading opportunities, I would be willing to bet that when the news releases come out stating things such as Bush’s impeachment or other things that peace-loving people the world over are working to create, there will be a large jump in the value of the dollar in the window of a day or two.

The really good news for the dollar and for the American people is coming from Japan. The Japanese are the largest holders of foreign dollar reserves (around $5 trillion dollars), and they have openly declared that they will no longer fund the American war effort.

The reason why I remain optimistic about the future of the American economy is because of the two main presidential candidates that have come forward to lead our country. In my mind (and in accordance with recent political data), the two main candidates in the 2008 presidential election will be Barack Obama and Ron Paul. Both of these men are benevolent leaders and are sufficiently equipped to rectify the errors of the Bush Administration, and Ron Paul has openly stated that he will abolish the Federal Reserve and the IRS to create a more prosperous America.

In the last paragraph, notice that I said the “American economy” and not the dollar. This is an important point, because many benevolent and powerful leaders are discussing new potential monetary systems for the United States that can lead to greater prosperity. The Federal Reserve system is based upon perpetual debt, and it is not sustainable because it steals wealth from the American people and puts it into the pockets of a few. This is all very good news, and so you may be wondering how this plays into your forex trading.

The dollar will continue to go down so long as our war is not stopped, and so for the next few months until the Bush Administration is forcibly removed from office or until they simply fade away to be replaced by a new leader, there will still be a downwards trend for the USD.
After our war ends due to internal political pressure from our benevolent leaders as well as financial pressure from the Japanese, many Japanese leaders are discussing the possibility of using their foreign dollar reserves to create a global humanitarian mission where they can bring knowledge and modern telecommunications access to countries that have not been able to provide it for themselves.

As this happens the American economy will regain strength because our trade balance will become much more sustainable. So ultimately for your forex trading, the downwards trend for the dollar will continue until these big benevolent changes occur, afterwards the American economy (as well as the global economy as a whole) will regain its stability.

TheCurrencyMarkets.com

Read More...

Trading With Strategy

Trading successfully is by no means a simple matter. It requires time, market knowledge and market understanding and a large amount of self restraint. ACM does not manage accounts, nor does it give market advice, that is the job of money managers and introducing brokers.

As market professionals, we can however point the novice in the right direction and indicate what are correct trading tactics and considerations and what is total nonsense.

Anyone who says you can consistently make money in foreign exchange markets is being untruthful.

Foreign exchange by nature, is a volatile market. The practice of trading it by way of margin increases that volatility exponentially. We are therefore talking about a very 'fast market' which is naturally inconsistent. Following that precept, it is logical to say that in order to make a successful trade, a trader has to take into account technical and fundamental data and make an informed decision based on his perception of market sentiment and market expectation. Timing a trade correctly is probably the most important variable in trading successfully but invariably there will be times where a traders' timing will be off. Don't expect to generate returns on every trade.

Let's enumerate what a trader needs to do in order to put the best chances for profitable trades on his side :

Trade with money you can afford to lose :

Trading fx markets is speculative and can result in loss, it is also exciting, exhilarating and can be addictive. The more you are 'involved with your money' the harder it is to make a clear-headed decision. Money you have earned is precious, but money you need to survive should never be traded.

Identify the state of the market :

What is the market doing? Is it trending upwards, downwards, is it in a trading range. Is the trend strong or weak, did it begin long ago or does it look like a new trend that's forming. Getting a clear picture of the market situation is laying the groundwork for a successful trade.

Determine what time frame you're trading on :

Many traders get in the market without thinking when they would like to get out, after all the goal is to make money. This is true but when trading, one must extrapolate in his mind's eye the movement that one expects to happen. Within this extrapolation, resides a price evolution during a certain period of time. Attached to this is the idea of exit price. The importance of this is to mentally put your trade in perspective and although it is clearly impossible to know exactly when you will exit the market, it is important to define from the outset if you'll be 'scalping' (trying to get a few points off the market) trading intra-day, or going longer term.This will also determine what chart period you're looking at. If you trade many times a day, there's no point basing your technical analysis on a daily graph, you'll probably want to analyse 30 minute or hour graphs. Additionally it is important to know the different time periods when various financial centers enter and exit the market as this creates more or less volatility and liquidity and can influence market movements.

Time your trade :

You can be right about a potential market movement but be too early or too late when you enter the trade. Timing considerations are twofold, an expected market figure like CPI, retail sales or a federal reserve decision can consolidate a movement that's already underway. Timing your move means knowing what's expected and taking into account all considerations before trading. Technical analysis can help you identify when and at what price a move may occur. We will look at technical analysis in more detail later.If in doubt, stay out:If you're unsure about a trade and find you're hesitating, stay on the sidelines.

Trade logical transaction sizes :

Margin trading allows the fx trader a very large amount of leverage, trading at full margin capacity (in ACM's case 1% or 0.5%) can make for some very large profits or losses on an account. Scaling your trades so that you may re-enter the market or make transactions on other currencies is generally wiser. In short, don't trade amounts that can potentially wipe you out and don't put all your eggs in one basket. ACM offers the same rates regardless of transaction sizes so a customer has nothing to lose by starting small.

Gauge market sentiment :

Market sentiment is what most of the market is perceived to be feeling about the market and therefore what it is doing or will do. This is basically about trend. You may have heard the term 'the trend is your friend', this basically means that if you're in the right direction with a strong trend you will make successful trades. This of course is very simplistic, a trend is capable of reversal at any time. Technical and fundamental data can indicate however if the trend has begun long ago and if it is strong or weak.

Market expectation :

Market expectation relates to what most people are expecting as far as upcoming news is concerned. If people are expecting an interest rate to rise and it does, then there usually will not be much of a movement because the information will already have been 'discounted' by the market, alternatively if the adverse happens, markets will usually react violently.

Use what other traders use :

In a perfect world, every trader would be looking at a 14 day RSI and making trading decisions based on that. If that was the case, when RSI would go under the 30 level, everyone would buy and by consequence the price would rise. Needless to say, the world is not perfect and not all market participants follow the same technical indicators, draw the same trendlines and identify the same support & resistance levels. The great diversity of opinions and techniques used translates directly into price diversity. Traders however have a tendency to use a limited variety of technical tools. The most common are 9 and 14 day RSI, obvious trendlines and support levels, fibonnacci retracement, MACD and 9, 20 & 40 day exponential moving averages. The closer you get to what most traders are looking at, the more precise your estimations will be. The reason for this is simple arithmetic, larger numbers of buyers than sellers at a certain price will move the market up from that price and vice-versa.

This article written by Nicholas H. Bang

Read More...

The Basics of Trading Forex

By Charles Nash

Trading forex is a huge business where over three trillion dollars are traded each day. This is a huge market for people to get into. The problem is that most people that get involved end up losing money. There is a small minority of people that end up making all the profits. The reason is that they have the underlining strategies of this business.

The first thing you need to do is set a simple rule for yourself. You're not going to be led down the road of emotion, speculation and feelings with trading. This is the fastest way to lose all your money because it turns a business into a game of roulette. Emotion is the enemy in this business. The proper way to conduct yourself is in a cold calculated way. You should be able to look at numbers and come up with risk and probability of profit. These are all numbers and you make your moves with numbers, not emotions.

Most people that give up think that big banks and huge corporations are the ones that are making all the money. They do make a lot of money, but it comes from the basic fact that they have a lot of money to trade with. There returns aren't that good because they have to play it extremely safe. It's the little guys in this business that answer to no one that make excellent returns.

What separates the little guy that makes money from the little guy that loses money? When the little guy goes to sleep, the market and trades are still being watched. The forex market never closes, so a lot of new people just leave their money on the table while they sleep. If the currency takes a plunge, so does their bank account. It's important to have automated software like Forex Killer running on your computer monitoring market and your trades. They work automatically, so it can automatically sell before you lose any money, and it can also buy if you instruct it to. It is a very valuable tool to help you since you can't watch the market every minute of the day.

These are the basics of forex trading. This is what divides the successful from the failures. You need to make cold calculated moves and you have to have a way to monitor the market 24/7 because you can't do it alone.

Article Source: EzineArticles.com

Read More...

Forex Trading Education

Forex Trading Education Helps Traders in Achieving Success

An individual who wants to become successful in forex trading should learn and understand the basics. There are many traders who lost a great amount of money in forex trading. It is because they are not properly educated about forex trading and its processes. So, to survive in the forex trading markets, it is imperative that future traders should have a forex trading education.

Forex trading can be the best way to earn huge amounts of money. However, those traders who seriously studied the forex market conditions can be able to achieve success. Proper education enables them to learn different market strategies. Remember, forex trading markets are the largest market in the world where instantaneous exchange happens. It is always a challenge even to knowledgeable forex traders and bankers. So, it is always a plus factor to traders if they thoroughly reviewed every angles and possibilities before performing the trade.

If you are going to read forums and reviews, you will find out that successful traders are those having proper knowledge about forex markets. They have decided to educate themselves on the detailed information vital on trading forex. Thus, every trade that they performed is considered an opportunity to learn new techniques.

Some people would think that they don’t really need education when trading forex. They believe that if they outsmarted the forex market, then they would be able to figure out its conditions to survive. This could be a great attitude however ask yourself if you could sustain it.

It would be very helpful for forex traders to undergo forex trading education from professional traders. There are several important forex trading factors that are being tackled to achieve forex trading success.

  1. Forex trading system is thoroughly discussed. The traders learn the three essential elements of a forex trading system that are profitable. It includes money management, risk management, and proper execution on the entry and exit market points. If the forex trading system is well established, then it can sustain draw backs caused by market fluctuations while retaining the consistent returns of profits. This is the secret equation needs to be mastered by every forex traders. In this case, the traders will stick to the system where it is giving them greater chances of earning larger amounts of money. Money management is considered the most essential factor in determining your success as a forex trader. If you are able to prevent financial hazards then it can increase your chance of becoming successful. The trading account should be adequately funded by the money that you can afford and restricting yourself from entering a trade that can wipe out all your assets. Always remember that it is much better to start trading on small amounts and using stop-loss orders so that your first forex trades will not be the last.
  2. The levels of market are also studied. It does not necessarily mean buying currencies at lower prices enable the traders to sell it on higher prices. Discipline is being taught to traders. Price behaviors are also learned consistently since it can change suddenly. However the traders are taught how to deal with this situation.
  3. They also learn how to emotionally detach themselves when trading forex. Keep in mind that emotions should never rule over your mind. So, forex trading education can guide you through the right direction. The psychology of trading are incorporated so that the traders should always act rationally so that the outcome of the trade will not be affected or altered. They can always make a good decision when entering or exiting a trade.
  4. Forex trading education teaches forex trading methods to the traders. They can acquire proper mindsets on trading forex and learn how to gain positive returns on their invested capital. Some traders concentrate on how they are going to make money rather than having their returns. So, educating yourself about building your wealth via consistent returns is beneficial. It is an advantage if you are properly acquainted with the forex trading environment before plunging into forex trading business.

Make your learning a fun experience. Don’t perceive forex education as a dull or a boring activity. You should enjoy your education and think that it is your first step to discipline your trading habits, wisely manage your money, and attain forex trading success.

Read More...

Finding Big Profits with Online Forex Trading

By Cindy Teruya

Investors want to see a huge return on any investment that they make. With Forex online trading, investors can receive the significant profits on a small outlay. Forex trading requires investors to learn some simple terminology that will help to make their Forex, or foreign exchange, trading much better and easier.

With Forex online trading, the investor stays up to date on the latest news, and on the investments that will turn the biggest profits. Forex trading can be done in the comfort of the investor's own home, and at a time of his or her own choosing. Forex trading on the Internet is a great way to invest money and build a financial future.

Forex online trading services are an excellent way for an investor to get support, advice, and information. Many investors find that being involved in a trading community makes the endeavor much more enjoyable. Foreign exchange online trading introduces investors into the international market, and helps them find a solid trading platform through which they can invest their money. Trading clubs are also the first places to get the latest foreign exchange news, making them an invaluable resource for the investor.

Investors can find information about Forex online trading in many different places, but the best place to start is with a Forex website such as ColtFX.com. They walk new investors through every bit of information needed for successful online foreign exchange trading. They also help with the terminology an investor needs to know in order to understand the Forex market.

Article Source: EzineArticles.com

Read More...

Marketiva Streamster Application

Simple

Easy to use and understand even if you are a beginner Streamster™ trading software gives you the best trading experience available! Arrange trading windows according to your preference, set advanced options, and much more...You only need 5 minutes to open your account - and it's free!

Advanced Personalized Charting

The most sophisticated and easy-to-use charting tool with built-in advanced technical indicators. You can trade, view and modify open positions - directly on your charts Modify parameters of technical indicators in real-time and see how they appear immediatelyBuild your chart collection by adding your saved chart configurations.

News, Chat, Alerts and Support Read real-time economic news and forecasts about global economy and markets. Get alerts narrated aloud prior to major scheduled market eventsChat with other traders about market events, exchange trading ideas and learn.
Get help from our support professionals available 24h on support channels.

Diversification and Practice

Trade $10,000 with only $100 in your account using 1% margin on Forex, Index and Commodity desks. If you look for long-term profits, you can invest in funds and reduce your investment risk. No interest charged on your open margin positions. You don't need to start on live market right away - practice with your virtual money first!

One-Click Trading

Buy and sell financial instruments with one mouse click. No commissions or exchange fees on your trades - you can trade as much as you like.
You can start trading with as little as $1!
Open your account for free and get $5 cash reward so you can start trading right away!

Read More...

Start Trading Forex With Marketiva

Marketiva is a financial services corporation specialized in providing traders with high quality online spot forex trading services. With a team of dedicated financial specialists and technical support personnel, Marketiva operates globally as a market maker and principal counterparty to retail clients trading in the foreign exchange market. Marketiva has established itself as an industry leader by relying on its groundbreaking internet trading platform and its superior customer service.

I recomend you to join Marketiva for your trading forex partner. By signing Marketiva, you will be rewarded free $5 (real money) to trade in live trading and $10.000 for virtual trading that you can use to exercise your initial trading.. In Marketiva you will also be supported by marketiva team for 24 hours. You can also chat with the Marketiva support team and other cahtter.

To start trading forex, you may follow this instruction :

  1. Click Here to Open An Account (free).

  2. Account Identification (for verification your ID).

  3. Download our Trading Software - Streamster.

  4. Sign Up for E-Bullion.

  5. Login to your account with a Streamster Software.

  6. Click Here if you want to add more deposit or to withdraw.

1 (one) person can open 1 (one) account only. In case our administration system detects there are multiple accounts registered by the same person, such accounts will be suspended !

Open your account for free and get $5 cash reward so you can start trading right away!

Read More...